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Saturday, August 9, 2014

Khazanah offer 0.27 for MAS (3786) ~ fair ~ ???

Some analysis said the offer is reasonable. What do you think?

To me, don't think so. The offer should be higher.

Based on information available, some said Khazanah have invested RM5billions or RM5.7billions to MAS.

a) RM5billions scenario:
 
    Khazanah total shares                           11,592,389,200
    Cost per share                                                    0.431

    Revised cost per share                                   0.382
    (If offer 0.27 for remaining shares is accepted)

b) RM5.7billions scenario:

    Khazanah total shares                           11,592,389,200
    Cost per share                                                    0.492

    Revised cost per share                                   0.424
    (If offer 0.27 for remaining shares is accepted)

They should offer 0.382 or 0.424 per share if that's what they believe MAS worth for??
By offering a price which is lower than what they have invested before, is a plus to them only, don't you think so?

Now all depends on the minority shareholders as shown below:

Khazanah 69.37%
                                              sub-total   69.37%
Minority shareholders
EPF 0.18%
Skim Amanah Saham Bumiputera 1.66%
Norges Bank Investment Management 0.29%
Great Eastern Life Assurance  0.60%
State Financial Secretary 0.27%
Mega First Housing Development  0.19%
OSK Capital Partners 0.13%
                                              sub-total 3.32%
Total 72.69%
Free float                        27.31%
Free float + Minority                        30.63%
Need 50% of Minority Votes 15.32%

To me, minority shareholders should reject the offer unless the offer is better.

Risk:
a) Khazanah take back their offer and let it face bankruptcy. Likely? To me the chance for this is minimum.

Lastly, no right or wrong in investment, only end results tell. No one shall control your ways of investment.

Good luck with your investment!!! ^_*


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